Understand the basics of the
subject matter, break it down to its smallest parts -- and you've laid a good
foundation for proper application of... well, anything, really. That's what we
had in mind when we put together our free 10-lesson online Basic Elliott Wave
Tutorial, based largely on Robert Prechter's classic
"Elliott Wave Principle -- Key to Market Behavior." Here's an
excerpt:
Successful market timing
depends upon learning the patterns of crowd behavior. By anticipating the
crowd, you can avoid becoming a part of it. ...the Wave Principle is not
primarily a forecasting tool; it is a detailed description of how markets behave.
In markets, progress ultimately takes the form of five waves of a specific
structure.
The personality of each wave
in the Elliott sequence is an integral part of the reflection of the mass
psychology it embodies. The progression of mass emotions from pessimism to
optimism and back again tends to follow a similar path each time around,
producing similar circumstances at corresponding points in the wave structure.
These properties not only
forewarn the analyst about what to expect in the next sequence but at times can
help determine one's present location in the progression of waves, when for
other reasons the count is unclear or open to differing interpretations.
As waves are in the process
of unfolding, there are times when several different wave counts are perfectly
admissible under all known Elliott rules. It is at these junctures that
knowledge of wave personality can be invaluable. If the analyst recognizes
the character of a single wave, he can often correctly interpret the
complexities of the larger pattern.
The following discussions
relate to an underlying bull market... These observations apply in reverse when
the actionary waves are downward and the reactionary
waves are upward.
1) First waves -- ...about
half of first waves are part of the "basing" process and thus tend to
be heavily corrected by wave two. In contrast to the bear market rallies within
the previous decline, however, this first wave rise is technically more
constructive, often displaying a subtle increase in volume and breadth. Plenty
of short selling is in evidence as the majority has finally become convinced
that the overall trend is down. Investors have finally gotten "one more
rally to sell on," and they take advantage of it. The other half of first
waves rise from either large bases formed by the previous correction, as in
1949, from downside failures, as in 1962, or from extreme compression, as in
both 1962 and 1974. From such beginnings, first waves are dynamic and only
moderately retraced. ...
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you'll learn:
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